The Mackerras New South Wales election pendulum, 2005 shows the state of the major political parties ahead of the New South Wales state election, 2007. The table shows seats in the New South Wales Legislative Assembly arranged in the form of a Mackerras Pendulum. The figures have been calculated on the basis of a redistribution completed in 2005.
A uniform swing against the incumbent Australian Labor Party government would deliver seats on the left of the table to the opposition Liberal and National parties. A swing in the government's favour would deliver seats on the right of the table to Labor.
MPs shown in italics did not contest the 2007 election.
Contents |
District | Member | Party | Margin | District | Member | Party | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Port Maccquarie | Rob Oakeshott[1] | Independent | 31.9% | ||||
Cabramatta | Reba Meagher | Labor | 31.8% | ||||
Marrickville | Carmel Tebbutt[2] | Labor | 31.6% | ||||
Liverpool | Paul Lynch | Labor | 30.8% | ||||
Northern Tablelands | Richard Torbay[1] | Independent | 30.0% | ||||
Lakemba | Morris Iemma | Labor | 28.8% | ||||
Canterbury | Linda Burney | Labor | 27.6% | ||||
Wollongong | Noreen Hay | Labor | 27.4% | ||||
Shellharbour[3] | Marianne Saliba | Labor | 27.0% | ||||
Mount Druitt | Richard Amery | Labor | 26.8% | ||||
Auburn | Barbara Perry | Labor | 26.5% | ||||
Bankstown | Tony Stewart | Labor | 26.4% | ||||
Fairfield | Joe Tripodi | Labor | 26.0% | ||||
Smithfield | Carl Scully | Labor | 25.9% | ||||
Blacktown | Paul Gibson | Labor | 24.9% | ||||
Keira | David Campbell | Labor | 24.0% | ||||
Heffron | Kristina Keneally | Labor | 23.9% | ||||
Maroubra | Michael Daley | Labor | 23.5% | ||||
Macquarie Fields | Steven Chaytor | Labor | 22.6% | Albury | Greg Aplin | Liberal | 22.5% |
Wallsend | John Mills | Labor | 20.1% | Davidson | Andrew Humpherson | Liberal | 20.9% |
District | Member | Party | Margin | District | Member | Party | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maitland | John Price | Labor | 9.8% | ||||
The Entrance | Grant McBride | Labor | 9.6% | ||||
Miranda | Barry Collier | Labor | 8.9% | ||||
Drummoyne | Angela D'Amore | Labor | 8.8% | ||||
Menai | Alison Megarrity | Labor | 8.4% | Oxley | Andrew Stoner | National | 9.7% |
Camden | Geoff Corrigan | Labor | 8.3% | Ballina | Don Page | National | 9.1% |
Londonderry | Allan Shearan | Labor | 8.2% | Cronulla | Malcolm Kerr | Liberal | 8.6% |
Gosford | Marie Andrews[13] | Labor | 8.2% | Lismore | Thomas George | National | 8.1% |
Kiama | Matt Brown | Labor | 8.1% | Epping | Andrew Tink | Liberal | 7.6% |
Port Stephens | John Bartlett | Labor | 7.2% | Willoughby | Gladys Berejiklian | Liberal | 7.4% |
Penrith | Karyn Paluzzano | Labor | 6.6% | Upper Hunter | George Souris | National | 7.2% |
District | Member | Party | Margin | District | Member | Party | Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Orange | Russell Turner | National | 5.9% | ||||
Clarence | Steve Cansdell | National | 5.3% | ||||
Bega | Andrew Constance | Liberal | 4.7% | ||||
Pittwater | Alex McTaggart[14] | Independent | 5.4% | Goulburn | Peta Seaton[15] | Liberal | 4.5% |
Wollondilly | New seat | Labor | 4.6% | Hornsby | Judy Hopwood | Liberal | 4.2% |
Monaro | Steve Whan | Labor | 4.4% | Baulkham Hills | Wayne Merton | Liberal | 4.0% |
Tweed | Neville Newell | Labor | 4.0% | Lane Cove | Anthony Roberts | Liberal | 2.8% |
Tamworth | Peter Draper[1] | Independent | 1.9% | South Coast | Shelley Hancock | Liberal | 1.6% |
Manly | David Barr[14] | Independent | 1.2% | Murray-Darling | Peter Black[16] | Labor | -1.4% |
Dubbo | Dawn Fardell[1] | Independent | 0.3% | Terrigal[17] | Chris Hartcher | Liberal | 0.6% |
A version of the table published in The Australian on 19 February 2007 [18] showed all seats as effectively Coalition or Labor depending on the favoured major party among the electorate's voters. On this interpretation, Clover Moore's seat of Sydney is shown on the government side, alone among the seven sitting independents.